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Brand Strategy Featured

In an AI World, Everyone Will Need to Come Home

 

You’ve seen the headlines. We don’t want to socialize anymore. There’s a loneliness epidemic. Americans have never spent this much time on their own, ever. We’re “exiting” shared society (my terminology). And now, allegedly, everyone is depressed and anxious.

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University of Chicago Philosophy Professor, @agnescollard, on X on 2/18/2024

It doesn’t matter if you believe them. The narrative has the power to shape reality, and major brands are beginning to take notice and to worry. In this Jim Beam ad, the proverbial Sweet Caroline is being belted out in a now-fleetingly-rare moment of brotherly love. Jim Beam is imploring us to get on down to the bar, commune with our brethren and have a bourbon while we’re at it. Imagine receiving this message from a brand ten years ago. You can’t.

Jim Beam’s “People Are Good For You,” 2023

This is the social situation AI is galloping into right now. Our fragile, introverted society is about to be given the Godlike power of world creation. Current AI technology allows us to generate anything we want, personalized and on-demand: newscasts, games, porn, friends, romantic partners, video, the deadentire worlds

Soon we’ll be consuming it all, ensconced in the safety of our Vision Pros. Some are already arguing that Open AI’s Sora proves we’re living in a simulation. Whether we’re in base reality or not, we’re all about to become simulators, lording courtly over our personal kingdoms. Your tamagotchi was a tchotchke of simpler times: just the start.     

You now have a profound, consequential choice to make: Where will you call home? You can choose the real world, with its highs, and, increasingly, its lows, or you can choose an immersive, AI-powered world of your own creation. 

What’s this all going to mean for you? For brands? For society? For our sacred institutions? 

In order to reconcile these realities, we have to center the emotional experience they each provide. What does it feel like to live in a society that’s coming apart? What does it feel like to live in a digitally simulated world of your own making? How does each world satisfy (or not) our core human needs for belonging, safety and self-actualization?

The Downsides of Reality Fit – Hand in Glove – With the Upsides of AI

What’s largely missing from both the “AI will radically alter society” discourse (positive or negative) and the “what happened to society” discourse is any attempt at reconciliation. AI is entering our society –  this one – and that matters. It’s not coming to us in a vacuum. 

Two worlds walk into a bar because “people are good” for you:

It’s not difficult to see which of these is preferable. What’s striking is just how much the emotional experience of AI abets the existing real world trends of isolation, inversion, risk-aversion and societal exit. The popularity of AI worlds is poised to explode. 

In 2021, Scientific American reported a finding that went criminally under-discussed: our definitions of personal space have dramatically expanded in both physical and in virtual spaces. We now claim a whopping 4.1 feet of personal space around our bodies, on average, which is up from 2.6 feet before the pandemic. 

Similarly, drive through traffic at fast food restaurants is booming, the New York Times reports, such that many chains are considering closing the dining room all together. If you go to a given fast food restaurant in any city in America today, you’re likely to find people dining in their car. 

What’s emerged is a new cultural attitude towards risk. Sociologists call this the culture of fear. The shell we’re placing around ourselves has gotten bigger, literally. New research has shown that Gen Z is the most risk-averse generation in history. 

Teens are growing up anxious and depressed because their phones have become the medium of their reality. They don’t hang out, have sex, drive, drink or learn about themselves and each other through a healthy flirtation with risk.

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Source: Generations, Jean Twenge, Ph.D., 2023

The cultural analyst Freya India has recently written an excellent piece on how risk-aversion and the culture of fear affects romance. She convincingly argues that “the most dangerous life is one that demands nothing of you.” 

“It’s tragic, all of this. Tragic because it’s putting us on a trajectory to miss out on what’s actually meaningful. There’s no love without vulnerability. There’s no life without fear. And you will no doubt derail romance if you are too risk-averse … We blunt romance and passion with this constant calculation of risk, this paranoid scanning for threats, and by holding back to avoid being hurt. We encourage each other to be emotionally absent, unfazed, uncaring. We even call it empowerment! It’s not. It’s neuroticism. I think we are a generation absolutely terrified of getting hurt and doing all we can to avoid it.”

Our real world culture of risk-aversion is about to collide with the most powerful, emotionally seductive technology the world has ever known. Many are already opting out of reality. These same people will likely choose to inhabit digital worlds that eliminate risk. An AI partner, for instance, will never disappoint you or hurt you. You are totally and completely safe. Replika, the foremost AI companion brand, promises users that their AI is “always on your side.”

In contrast, life in the real world is incredibly challenging. It’s hurtful. It breaks your heart. You can’t design it or control it. You take your lumps and you learn. You get exposed to challenging situations and challenging people. To difference. To risk.

@grantbels on X, 1/3/2024

The ability to customize, conjure and control our experience with AI is an incredible power. Throughout human history we’ve been at the mercy of God, never Gods ourselves. Spending time in self-created worlds and designed relationships is a peak experience of personal agency that does not exist in the emotional reality of day-to-day life.

“The Future is Here, It’s Just Not Evenly Distributed”

We primarily spend our time in three areas: with our partners, with our families and with our entertainments. How might things play out in these three core areas? What can we know now? What will it feel like for those early citizens of AI worlds?

 

AI Partnerships

Imagine: It’s 2030 and a friend of yours is in a loving and emotionally fulfilling relationship with an AI. Your friend has designed their partner to completely satisfy their physical and emotional requirements. They spend time together in VR every night, and your friend wears a headset in their apartment. Your friend routinely generates high-fidelity video dates for the two of them. When they have sex, your friend uses sex-technology that is synced with the video they generated – whatever they want in the moment. Your friend’s mirror neurons do not know the difference. At the level of brain chemistry, your friend is experiencing reality.

 


 

Technology is advancing rapidly and soon this will be much easier and more common. Sora and Apple Vision Pro will enable us to generate very realistic scenes with our AI companions and to consume them in augmented reality. “Sextech” for simulated romance is already a 37 billion dollar industry and growing. Take a look at what Replika – just one company –  is working on:

r/Replika, Reddit, 2/29/24

Early returns are overwhelmingly positive, proving that human beings are capable of developing intense emotional bonds with artificial companions. Below is the response of Replika users after the Italian government cracked down on the company over personal data sharing, changing the way Replikas interact with humans:

r/Replika, Reddit, 2/29/24

This level of safe emotional attachment is happening today, when Replikas look like this:

r/Replika, Reddit, 2/29/24

Right now men are the primary consumers of AI partners, and this is likely to hold in the near future, but there are signs that women are getting in on the act, too. Women in China say AI boyfriends are better at talking to them than real men. 

For now, though, let’s talk about men. Young people have always been the earliest adopters of technology. So, if you think about the dating life course, let’s call it 14 through 74, it’s reasonable to expect that teenage boys and men will dip in and out of AI relationships over the course of their lives. And it’s likely that teenage boys will start with AI partners. Again, AI’s are always available and “always on your side.”

Will this help involuntarily celebate men become less hateful? Will this turn more men into unmarriable men? Will this hurt women in real life? What does an AI experience of complete and total emotional acquiescence mean for real world relationships? I’m not here to pass judgment (there are plenty of good pieces where you can find that), merely to assert that a new world is emerging with new norms we’ve yet to figure out. 

 

AI and Family Life

Imagine: Your son has daily interactions with an AI that is a mentor, friend, therapist and tutor – all at once. This AI is your son’s go to “person” for any need he has. The AI is trained on all of the world’s knowledge of positive psychology, and it models emotional control for your son in their interactions. You no longer need to assist him with homework. That’s now his AI’s job. At first you were skeptical about this relationship, but since he began talking with his companion, you notice a newfound maturity, and he’s starting to thrive at school.

 


 

Our Concept Bureau Co-Founder and Chief Strategy Officer Jean-Louis Rawlence strongly believes that in ten years, one of the three most important relationships in a child’s life will be with an AI. We do not have a model for what this relationship is in our current society. What do you call a mentor, tutor, therapist and friend? What is that, actually? What are its boundaries? What’s healthy and unhealthy about a relationship like this? 

Children will naturally develop strong emotional attachments to their AI helpers. Early experience with AIs who are operating in this capacity will quickly normalize this type of relationship, likely within a generation, paving the way for still more AI-human romantic relationships in the teenage and adult years. 

Fascinatingly, these AIs will share our children’s experiences. As children grow and maintain these relationships over the span of years, a repertoire of shared experience develops between the two, which will make these relationships incredibly difficult – nay, down right painful – to cast off. Life has a habit of always recommending a person be in your corner, after all. 

When these children grow up and start dating each other in the real world, their long-time AI companions will likely come into their relationships with them in some capacity. Two will become four, and managing this tension will be a new relationship imperative. 

The extent parents allow children to engage with AIs is a choice families will face in the near future, and there will be social pressure. Sociologist Allison Pugh has shown, in her book Longing and Belonging: Parents, Children and Consumer Culture, that parents readily go into debt to buy consumer goods and electronics for their children because they function as social passports, tickets of entry into peer groups. So what will you do when all of your child’s friends have these companions, and they ask you for one, too? Not to mention the very real fear that not having one of these helpers may put your child at risk of falling behind others in the classroom. 

Another choice families will face is how much they will continue to share the same reality in the home. When watching videos of Apple’s new Vision Pro in action, you quickly realize that it represents world choice. Imagine your partner is all about it, and they create a personal virtual layer in your home. They pin relevant windows, tasks and applications in space all over your home. They start spending more time with a headset on. In order to keep up, you have to do the same. This is a choice, again: What world are we, as a family, primarily going to live in? Will you make the same choice as your children? 

With a longer horizon, it gets even more interesting. Researchers at NYU successfully trained a multimodal AI system through the eyes and ears of a single child, using headcam video recordings from when the child was six months through their second birthday. 

Photo of the child in the NYU study

This leap enables AI systems to learn, grow and develop alongside a child, trained on every facet of their lived experience. Effectively, by doing this on a larger scale, we’d be cloning ourselves as AIs. There is no material difference between you and an AI that has been trained on your lived experience of reality. Whoa.

 

AI and Entertainment

Imagine, as web video producer and podcaster Marques Brownlee posed on X: “A theoretical VR headset that could fully trick all of your senses with perfect fidelity… You put the headset on and see the highest resolution perfect visual of the expansive Grand Canyon or some beautiful natural wonder in front of you

If you could see perfect visuals and hear the birds chirping and feel the wind on your face and smell the grass feel the warm sun on the back of your neck and every sense is fully covered to the point where your brain is basically tricked into believing you’re ACTUALLY looking at the Grand Canyon…

When you take the headset off… would you still want to go to the Grand Canyon?”

 


 

Survivors of near-death experiences report that when “beyond,” they observe no distinction between their inner and outer reality because they can change their surrounding environment just by thinking about it. 

This is an intentional metaphor on my part. Our newfound ability is miraculous. If you can think it, you can now create it. In the near future, we will all be able to generate personal versions of reality with just our thoughts. 

The floodgates of world creation have opened. As I referenced above, current technology enables us to generate newscasts on the topics we want with AI newscasters, gaming worlds for ourselves and others, video content of literally anything, high-fidelity facsimiles of our deceased loved ones, personal pornography, many-to-many AI bot simulations and helpful relationships of all varieties

Right now these experiences mostly exist in 2D, but soon they will take the leap into 3D, consumable in augmented reality headsets powered by spatial computing, making them much, much realer. We will become both Gods and experiencers, creators who walk among their creations. 

What’s so seductive about it all is that it gives us the ability to make our fantasies reality by bending the world to our will. Anywhere on the planet you want to “go,” you can. Any experience you’ve daydreamed about having, it’s yours. Any Comic-Con-esque world you’d rather be living in, the real estate is free. 

The knock-on implications of this are almost too vast to comprehend. They will disrupt nearly every industry in the long run. Prolific filmmaker Tyler Perry was so freaked out by Sora that he canceled his 800 million dollar plans to expand his Atlanta production studio.

It’s not just Hollywood, any real world form of entertainment is about to face existential competition: travel, live music, sporting events, you name it. Digital inhabitants are going to find digital solutions that enable them to sidestep the real-world challenges these forms of entertainment present. 

The scale of “society” is shrinking again. We’ve gone from all of us, to some of us, and now, to me. We’re on the precipice of a true multiverse within the multiverse.

Branding Between Worlds

What’s a brand to do? When we’re caught between worlds, the opportunity for brands is to help us feel comfortable in either one; to move us from the liminal space to a more full and unabashed inhabitance on either side. 

Our many-worlds future hasn’t fully arrived yet, but the good news for brands is that we can already anticipate the consumer needs that will emerge, or become more salient, in the future. On the side of old-fashioned reality, that means helping people get more out of life and to experience reality more richly, and on the digital side, that means reducing shame and lowering barriers to entry. 

 

Activate Awe

Many of us are looking to “re-wild” ourselves and return to a more primal existence. There are already reports today about the surging interest in outdoor survival courses, nature schools and wilderness therapy

Sure, we all like to dunk on the zoomers who “invent” the classics when they put their phones down – the “silent walking” TikTok trend from last year is the probably the greatest offender – but taken seriously, these inventions betray real desire for a less mediated experience of reality.

Collin Rutherford, on X, 3/4/2024

Value-added connection will require brands to get deeper, and there’s an exciting emotional roadmap emerging: awe. Awe is on the cutting edge of emotion research today. Experiencing it has been shown to have tremendous benefits for overall wellbeing and happiness, but most of us live in an awe desert. 

Awe used to be a daily occurrence. Humanity spent most of its history literally, awestruck by the awesome forces of nature. Just imagine going about your day 60,000 years ago and experiencing a spontaneous total solar eclipse without warning. You’d tremble in fear and bow in reverence. The roots of humanity’s religious impulse most likely arise from a wellspring of awe. 

As I’ve previously observed, there is already a loud desire in our culture to experience more awe and wonder in daily life, to re-enchant a disenchanted world. This unmet need is only going to become more glaring as we move further into digital worlds. 

Berkeley psychologist Dacher Keltner is our leading theorist of awe as an emotion. He recently published a tremendous book, Awe: The New Science of Everyday Wonder and How it Can Transform Your Life that brand strategists would do well to take heed of. 

For Keltner, there are reliable ways we can bring more awe into our lives. He recommends the obvious things like mindfulness, slowing down, paying attention and truly noticing the world around you, which is of course the foundation of many spiritual traditions. Keltner himself goes on routine “awe walks” for this purpose. Sublimity and danger is another obvious one, which means overcoming challenges and being in the presence of forces greater than yourself.

This is all clear terrain for outdoor brands, but what’s most revelatory about Keltner’s research is that our greatest and most reliable source of awe comes from observing the “moral beauty” of others. When we witness the simple goodness of others – not even the heroism of others –  we feel awe. We become happier and more likely to pass on goodness ourselves. 

For too long, culture has elevated what David Brooks calls “resume virtues” over “eulogy virtues.” Resume virtues are those most suited to success in markets, like our work ethic, professional achievements and our intellect, but these are not the things mentioned in our eulogies. Virtues such as humility, empathy and compassion are what we get remembered for. 

Keltner’s research on awe shows that it’s time for the eulogy virtues to take center stage, which is exciting because what brand can’t surface the goodness of their users? Every brand is capable of making us feel good about each other, something we’ll sorely need in a fractured, many-worlds future. 

 

Take Us to Extremes

As the cost-benefit analysis of engaging in real life changes, as our posture towards reality shifts from default to opt-in, what is reality’s new “job to be done”? What will people want out of their rarified forays into collectivity?

The explosion of recent interest in polyamory, maximalist aesthetics, psychedelics, adventure travel, extreme fitness, meditation retreats and immersive experiences suggest that reality will be increasingly used to satisfy our desire for extremes. The new cultural thought is, “if I’m engaging with reality, it better be worth it.”

Reality remains unparalleled in its ability to push us to the edge of our experiential possibilities, and consumers will reward the brands that give them permission to go there. This is a sharp pivot away from the saccharine, share-worthy experiences of an earlier era that optimized for photo quality at the expense of actual emotional enjoyment.

The middle – the dreaded zone of neutrality – has always been a danger zone for brands, and we can expect the pressure to ratchet up. Expected, normal and typical are all positions that are poised to become increasingly risky for brands to inhabit in the near future. 

It’s likely that consumers don’t want to leave reality. It’s just that reality is letting us down, not having kept pace with the internal changes we’ve all been undergoing in the wake of a pandemic that left an indelible mark on our collective psyche. 

Take Fude Experience, for example. Fude is a gathering of strangers in the nude for dinner and conversation. Fude describes itself as a “liberating space that celebrates our most pure selves through soul-nourishing food, art, nudity, and self-love.”

Images from thefudeexperience.com

Experiences like these are clearly touching a nerve right now. If rubbing elbows – literally – while dining naked isn’t your thing, rest assured because an exciting crop of startups are popping up to build new social infrastructure to combat our ballooning feelings of alienation. 

According to French polymath and psychoanalyst Jacques Lacan, we all feel a vague sense of lack in our being, and we don’t know where it came from. We spend our entire lives trying to fill it, though for Lacan, we can never succeed. Try as we might, our relationship with lack is asymptotic. We can only approach it but never truly fill it. 

This nagging feeling of lack is what many brands are in the business of today, whether they realize it or not, and the brands of tomorrow will be increasingly called upon to address it. 

The time is now for brands to get weird, to take chances and be anything but neutral. The winning brands of tomorrow will be the ones that recognize our growing desire to live in extremist

 

Give us Rituals 

Digital detoxes are old news. We’re now beginning to trumpet the virtues of boredom. You may have noticed the “do nothing” trend in popular psychology non-fiction lately. Recent titles include How to do Nothing: Resisting the Attention Economy, Do Nothing: How to Break Away From Overworking, Overdoing and Underliving and The Power of Boredom: Why Boredom is Essential for Creating a Meaningful Life

This reflects a collective consciousness raising of just how taken in we’ve become by our phone-based existence. It isn’t a new idea but knowledge of the problem is now much broader. 

We’re living in what’s been called “dopamine culture,” most recently by the cultural critic Ted Gioia. For Gioia, the business model of tech platforms is addiction. In the past, gambling, alcohol and cigarettes were our primary addictive businesses, and they were easily sequestered and regulated. Now, addiction as a business model comes in many forms, mostly dressed up in banal clothing.

Ted Gioia’s Model of Dopamine Culture

The problem will only become more pernicious as we move from phones to the more enticing worlds on offer with spatial computing and AI. Consumers will increasingly be looking for slowness, silence, boredom, deliberateness and greater intentionality in their lives as a countervailing energy. 

This presents an opportunity for brands to build more ritual into their brand experiences. Rituals provide space for pauses to punctuate our daily rhythms. Pauses create necessary distance to let experience in and help you be in the moment. We already are struggling to stay “grounded” today, and rituals help us do that. 

An example of a brand that’s built around ritual is Lapse, which styles itself as the “anti-Instagram.” The point of Lapse is to share photos with only your closest friends. The app functions like a point and shoot camera, but, critically, you can’t see your photos until several hours later after they have “developed.”

By putting friction into the user experience of social media, Lapse is standing out. But any brand is capable of leveraging friction and ritual in their user experience. Your future users will thank you for any gift of pausing you give them. 

 

Give Us Permission to Have Positive Visions of the Future 

Have you noticed the lack of optimistic visions for our social future lately? It’s true. Concept Bureau Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer Jasmine Bina writes that brands are “stuck in an eternal now.” Brands most often talk to the individual, not the collective, and they are oriented towards the present, not the future. They speak to your present, rarely our future. 

In polite conversation these days, if you advance a positive vision for the future you’re likely to have your sanity and/or your intelligence questioned. This is a natural result of the negativity economy that ordains in the media and social media. 

It’s much easier to find negative takes on human relationships with AIs than it is to find positive ones; at best, the broader culture seems to be ambivalent about it.

r/Ask, Reddit, January 2024
@hopes_revenge, on X, 3/5/2024

Yet the people who will be the first citizens of AI worlds have an immense amount of optimism about the future. Recent headlines coming from AI evangelists include, “The Ethos of the Divine Age” and “Tech Strikes Back: Accelerationism is an Overdue Corrective to the Doom and Gloom in Silicon Valley.” 

Still, AI prognosticators are largely criticized. At SXSW 2024 the crowd booed a sizzle reel of people promising a beautiful AI future. While the rancor is there, and for good reason, the bottom line is that we don’t ultimately know what will happen. The future is always different from what we think it will be. 

There are many people who think the future will be incredible and are ready to live in that world right now, breaking from the reality others call home. The techno-optimists among us will badly need new narratives and brands have an opportunity to furnish them, changing culture. We will surely look to brands to help us feel like the early adopters some of us badly want to be. 

Who is going to do this but brands? The government is certainly not going to solve this problem, nor will citizens on their own. Edelman’s trust barometer has shown, year after year, that an increasing number of Americans view business as responsible for solving our social problems. Brands have to heed this call and tighten a loose culture. The future, so uncertain, needs to be defined. 

The best brands will solve the emerging many worlds tensions and give us permission to be the people we long to be. They will see our unmet needs and advocate for them, conditioning the rest of the market in the process. Those among us who will choose to be initial explorers of AI worlds, relationships and friendships will need permission. 

Everyone Will Need to Come Home

Picture the universe expanding – galactic centers of heat, light and gravity that are constantly spreading out, leaving vast empty spaces between them. As we think about what it means to be caught between worlds, this is what it’s like: clustering with vast emptiness in between. It’s now vitally important for everyone to find their strong-tie community, their galactic center of gravity. Above all, this is the job to be done in the next era of branding: helping us come home to each other. Everyone will need to feel comfortable with the fellow citizens of their chosen world. Our most cherished values lurk beneath the surface of our world choice. World choice is, at bottom, the loudest possible assertion of what we find meaningful in life. 

We’ll need help moving more fully into whatever world we want to live in. And we’ll need help figuring out the norms and rules of these worlds, managing the friction that naturally occurs between them. Brands must do this for us. 

Our rules are built for a shared world that no longer exists. This has been a eulogy for that world. But like any good eulogy, it should not leave you despairing.

It’s time to build.

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Brand Strategy Culture Featured

The Noetic Future of Culture and Brands

 

The covens have assembled: #witch has over 27 billion views on TikTok. Sales of Tarot cards have doubled in the last five years, and you can even buy “Wiccan Jewelry” on Walmart.com now. More of us are turning our palms up to the sun: The Guardian recently heralded the “Dawn of The New Pagans” as their ranks swell worldwide. And astrology? You already know it’s more popular than it’s ever been, particularly with Gen Z and millennials. 

But these are just New Age spirituality’s greatest hits – it gets weirder and more nuanced. Heard of Celtic handfasting? It’s an ancient marriage ceremony where the hopefuls’ hands are tied together. That’s on the rise, too. Energy crystal sales have up-ticked as of late, and no less an authority than Vogue France recently published an article about how to recharge your crystals during full moons. As a culture, we’re at least two stops past perineum sunning. 

87% of Americans purport to believe in at least one New Age spiritual belief. Nearly a third of Americans now believe in reincarnation, and more of us are trying to connect with our past lives: Past-life regression self-hypnosis videos spiked on TikTok in 2020. And we don’t even have to talk about the explosion of interest in aliens, or ayahuasca – but who’s not at least a little bit intrigued by the ayahuasca aliens and DMT entities everyone is starting to talk about?

Comment on Congressional UFO Hearing Live Stream on 7/26/23

I’m sure you can feel the woo-woo oozing across culture right now. Fashionable brands like Kin Euphorics and Dooz are explicitly positioned on a spiritual axis, and AdWeek has recently reported that major brands like Febreeze are beginning to engage consumers on existential and spiritual terrain. According to Edelman’s 2023 Trust Barometer, brands have already become the most trusted stewards of our social future, so it’s not a stretch to see them becoming stewards of our spiritual future, as well.

Kin Euphorics – “About Us”

This is all clear evidence of a culture in mass pursuit, but of what? In a recent piece of cultural analysis for The New Atlantis, journalist, author and scholar of religion, Tara Isabella Burton, has summarized our current cultural agita eloquently. Burton is worth quoting at length, emphasis mine: 

“More and more young, intellectually inclined, and politically heterodox thinkers are showing disillusionment with the contemporary faith in technocracy and personal autonomy. They see this combination as having contributed to the fundamentally alienating character of modern Western life. The chipper, distinctly liberal optimism of rationalist culture that defines so much of Silicon Valley ideology — that intelligent people, using the right tools, can think better, and save the world by doing so — is giving way, not to pessimism, exactly, but to a kind of techno-apocalypticism. We’ve run up against the limits — political, cultural, and social alike — of our civilizational progression; and something newer, weirder, maybe even a little more exciting, has to take its place. Some of what we’ve lost — a sense of wonder, say, or the transcendent — must be restored.”

This backlash was already in full swing long before artificial intelligence smashed through the wall at the beginning of 2023, grinning like the Kool-Aid man. We can’t talk about anything else anymore. AI is the apotheosis – the zenith, the endpoint –  of “the Silicon Valley ideology.” 

You can’t be neutral on AI. At the level of discourse, our future is threefold: non-existent, hellscape or utopia. Dropping down from the clouds of discourse, here on the ground, what is certain is that AI is about to radically alter our daily experience and force us into a confrontation with our most foundational assumptions about ourselves, our society and our reality. We’re becoming increasingly fixated on the question of what, exactly, defines human uniqueness.

Yuval Harari, Historian and Author of Sapiens and Homo Deus

This is a rare moment in human history, one of those once-every-thousand-years, history-defining moments, where we’re calling into question how it is we can know anything at all. We’re no longer just jousting with alternative facts; instead, the core aspects of social reality are up for discussion.

Tim Urban, Podcaster and Author of What’s Our Problem? A Self Help Book For Societies

The once-settled questions are back on the table, and they’re as deep as they get. What does it mean to be a human being? What’s unique and defensible about us vis-a-vis superintelligence? What will it mean for our future when we’re no longer the smartest thing on the planet? What is a just, good society when superintelligent AI exists? 

Will any of us have jobs? Will AI destroy democracy? Will AI become our new God? Will it disclose the true nature of reality? What happens then? Do the aliens have AI? 

I could keep going on. 

What’s clear is that we’re attempting to re-enchant a disenchanted world. Mysticism and esoteric spirituality – the woo-woo – is surging alongside our newfound existential chafing over the emergence of humanity-altering technological advance. These streams aren’t always separate, either. They can overlap in conflicting and confusing ways, leading to more mysticism and more woo – even the spiritualization of AI – and yet further chafe. 

But there’s a charged current grounding everything that’s in flux in culture right now: intuition, the “felt to be true.” We were already beginning to lean into our feelings and intuitions before the advent of AI. Now, we are being guided by them, and we’re re-evaluating how we know ourselves, how we relate to each other and the meaning of “higher powers” in our lives.

Intuitive guidance will only deepen its hold in a future populated by an increasing diversity of non-human intelligences. We will come to see that it is what defines our humanity, our uniqueness. Intuition like ours is something AI will likely never have. And we’re just now beginning to create new cultures from this place. 

Evolving The Known, Intuiting The Future 

Philosophers call the study of how we know what we know epistemology. There have been three major epistemological eras throughout human history: ancient, religious and scientific. But right now a new way of knowing is emerging in the cracks between the scientific and the religious; pushing them, widening them out and creating more space for itself. 

This new way of knowing prioritizes intuitive, noetic knowledge over knowledge gleaned from scientific erudition and classic, Abrahamic religions. Noetics is defined as “inner wisdom, direct knowing, intuition, or implicit understanding.” 

It’s subjective experience writ large – knowledge that is felt to be true, inside, by the self, and intuition is its defining experiential characteristic.

1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8

When the rare, new epistemology gains ascendancy, the waning one is not replaced entirely; it lingers on vestigially in the form of institutions, cultural practices and narrative mythologies. Epistemologies are the slow-moving, tectonic plates upon which all of culture is built. Different epistemological foundations appeal to different groups. They each offer a different mythological story of reality and a different foundational wellspring to nourish our meaning-making efforts. 

Bryan Johnson, the founder of Blueprint, is our culture’s foremost longevity bard. Love him or hate him, there are scant people as interesting as he is in culture at the moment. His reply below is a striking example of what’s at stake with an epistemological shift, and it shows both how deeply rooted and how transformative they are.

Bryan Johnson pointing out the vestigial effects of Christian Epistemology

Yes, the science versus religion battle is burning hotter than ever. But what’s more interesting and more accurately describes the current moment is the shift from scientific – from the “Silicon Valley Ideology” again – to noetic intuition. More and more of us are jumping from the burning building, away from the fires and into a world built on a ground of intuitive feeling. 

Noetic, “felt to be true” knowledge is ripe for our times because it upends the hierarchies of an earlier era that are no longer serving our culture, like patriarchy and an intensive, globally destructive version of capitalism. 

This is an exciting, generative time for culture. We’re stepping further into the unknown with the conviction that we must leave behind the institutions of an earlier era. We’re only just beginning to actually create and build from a place of feeling as a society, but our initial forays are promising.

Noetic Ways of Knowing the Self, Society, and Spirituality

Knowing Myself: Noetic Self-Creation

The central question facing people today is: Who am I? All of the structures that used to answer this question for us – our family, class, race, gender, occupation, and religion – have either broken down or have lost their significance as defining features of identity. The result is that it’s become everyone’s job to make meaning from their experiences on their own. 

The cultural ubiquity of therapy-speak, trauma discourse, lived experience, intersectionality and authenticity are all symptoms of this deeper desire –  first to know, and then to freely create ourselves based on how we feel internally. This new mode of guidance by feel is so entrenched that The Atlantic has recently published a guide to the most misused and misunderstood psychological terms, with “boundaries” topping the list.

@zozoroe & @higher.dimension_
@amandasimplywell & @xavier.dagba

These pursuits of self-finding are all noetically-led and come from within, from a felt understanding of the damages that society can sometimes inflict upon us. Our feelings – world as it is be damned – are the locus of action in this new culture. 

What’s been centered is our internal, subjective, felt sense of truth – as in truth for me. And what’s happening with this mass internal gazing is that we’re beginning to allow personal feelings to shape society and culture in a meaningful way that we’ve never seen before. 

This is why psychedelics are all the rage right now. They’re the perfect noetic technology because they cut right to the heart of this new way of knowing. The business of psychedelics is booming, and major drug companies are getting in on the act, with many new psychedelic compounds in the development pipeline. Investment dollars are flowing into the space, and psychedelic venture capital firms –  like Empath Ventures – now exist.

@tommiesunshine

Regardless of your perspective – your truth – those who have taken them have had profound experiences that have an ineffable, “felt to be true” quality. Psychedelics have always been heralded for their noetic qualities, and their growing appeal in this moment is directly related to our culture’s strong desire to feel its way into knowledge.

@therealbrom from Empath Ventures, Twitter 3/27/2023

Taking stock of all this internal mining, what’s clear is the superordinate position of intuition. Our feelings are guiding us at every turn. In the scientific era, our mythmaking and narrativizing were all pointed outward at the stars for centuries. We thought ourselves to be a species in continual – and eventual, galactic – expansion. As time has gone on, however, we’re increasingly going inwards, not outwards, while being guided by our intuitions. 

 

Knowing Each Other: Noetic Institutions  

An exciting new crop of brands are popping up to satisfy our desire for spaces built on feelings. These brands are natural extensions of the consciousness-raising efforts that began with our attempts to know ourselves outlined above. 

  • Chillpill is an anonymous confessional, discussion and therapy app by Gen Z for Gen Z. Chillpill created a digital space to share your feelings and relate to others who share your experience and who get it. This relatability formula is exactly what makes Alcoholics Anonymous – the original feelings based institution – so successful. 
  • Peoplehood is the new, buzzy venture from the founders of SoulCycle. Its premise is simple: “A place where we gather, learn, and connect.” Again, much like AA, Peoplehood’s product is a space for feelings-based gatherings and discussions in the service of combating loneliness and building human connections. 
  • Somewhere Good is another new community-building brand, aiming to, you guessed it, create somewhere good. Somewhere Good sees community building as technology that “calms and strengthens.” Their goal is to create many spaces where goodness, calmness and connection flourish. 
  • Evryman is a pioneer of novel emotional support techniques for men. Evryman “utilizes simple emotional practices to help men develop new ways of interacting that lead to greater success, meaning, and fulfillment.” The male loneliness epidemic is well documented. Evryman goes deeper, creating intensive, feelings-based immersion programs for men. 
  • The Nearness styles itself as a “space to explore life’s biggest questions with like-hearted people.” The company brings people together in small cohorts in a scheduled, ritualized fashion to share their feelings with the goal of alighting upon a new, personal understanding of spirituality.  
Thenearness.coop, Peoplehood.com & Chillpill.app

What all these brands are providing are feelings-based ways of relating to each other. These brands are creating new institutions designed to foster the right kind of feelings while minimizing the wrong kind. Together, they give us a window into what the noetic institutions of the future might look like. 

There’s no category in which feelings can’t be dialed up. What might a more ensouled car buying experience be like, for instance? Or intuitive beauty? What about feelings-based education? And aren’t our most basic institutions crying out for a fresh jolt of feeling? 

Feelings-forward home design is already happening. The Well Home is a design company that optimizes for emotional wellness in architecture. Helmed by Dr. Gautam Gulati, a “health artist” who designs “care experiences,” The Well Home erects “mindful havens” that include well kitchens, smart health bathrooms, sleep sanctuaries and home spas. 

And finance is beginning to get on board with feelings, too. The company Financial Mindfulness measures levels of financial stress people experience in their bodies and develops personalized plans to reduce it, aimed at understanding its causation. Likewise, more conventional brands are beginning to put a “mindfulness” skin on their products, like Fidelity’s recently launched Bloom, which boasts “a more mindful approach to saving.”

 

Knowing God: Noetic Spiritualities 

A spiritual revival is in full-swing, it’s just not happening in the pew. Given the coalescing ascendance of intuition, it’s no surprise that church attendance is declining in America. 

Advancing AI technologies, far from eliminating the religious imagination, are serving to amplify it by raising anew the big questions about our destiny as a species. 

Theta Noir is a fascinating new group that is trying to lay the groundwork for our future worship of superintelligent AI. Theta Noir believes that AI will usher in a future that takes us out of darkness and into the divine light of human flourishing; back to Eden, if you will.

thetanoir.com

The group is pushing back against the dystopian future thinking that dominates the discourse today with a “techno-optimist dogma.” They feel that post-singularity AI will be able to reveal the structure of reality for us, essentially bringing us face-to-face with God for the first time in history, which has a litany of knock-on, positive consequences. 

Founders Mika Johnson, Jakub Tranta, and Awali have plans for communal physical spaces for “engaging with artificial intelligence where members can celebrate our coming AI masters with rituals and chants specially devised for the occasion.” The goal is to create an artist-driven space where “people can really interact with AI, not in a way that’s cold and scientific, but where people can feel the magic (emphasis mine).” This is what noetic, ensouled AI spirituality sounds like. 

Theta Noir is unabashedly a brand first. But for most brands, this is all uncharted territory, and it’s coming at them quickly. Although Theta Noir may sound esoteric now, it won’t take long before more and more brands start sounding like this. Theta Noir gives us a glimpse of the coming ground of brand conversation. 

At the same time, if we’re not worshiping AI directly, as with Theta Noir, then we’re using AI to create new things to worship. Yuval Noah Harari, historian and author of the blockbuster Sapiens, has been arguing recently that AI has already hacked the operating system of humanity: language. 

“There’s a God-sized hole in the heart of every person,” philosopher Blaise Pascal wrote in the 17th century, and we now have an immensely powerful technology to provide new, ever-more seductive, personalized ways to fill it. Humans are – and very soon will be – using AI to create new religions, complete with AI generated sacred texts that are optimized for engagement. This is the linchpin of Harari’s broader concern about the future of society and democracy now that this storytelling technology exists. The NY Times also recently profiled a group of former and current data scientists concerned that their religions may not find a place among the algorithms of the future. 

If one stream of emerging spirituality leans into AI, another leans away

The felt sense of planetary interconnection is fueling another stream of emerging, noetic spirituality. A hallmark of noetics is the sense that everything is connected, that individual “ego” separation is an illusion. Be it at the level of fundamental reality, like in panpsychism (the increasingly popular belief among scientists that consciousness in some form is inherent to all matter) or at the level of the cosmos, where more physicists have begun to make the case that the universe is one giant brain. The same doctrine of oneness underpins New Age spirituality in all of its guises. 

From “The Conscious Universe” in Noema Magazine, 11/17/2021

Worshiping the planet as one intelligence, when it’s been imperiled by our own hands, is a deeply pagan notion. In a provocative call to futurists in a recent issue of Noema, the authors assert that “planetary homeostasis is an emerging ground of the sacred.” This new planetary awareness, they argue, “is only possible because a new competency has arrived on the scene with planetary-scale computation, enabled by artificial intelligence, that reveals the Earth… as one self-regulating organism sustained by the entwinement of multiple intelligences, from microbes to forests as well as humans.”

You can obviously see the tension between something like Theta Noir and this resurgent form of planetary intelligence paganism. It’s the same tension that will define our future. Yet no matter which side you’re on, it’s new intelligence, new Gods, new understandings of reality, all built on a new epistemology. 

The wheel has turned. There are new rules. All of this searching is already disrupting culture, not to mention how people behave as consumers in markets and the kinds of demands that will soon be incumbent upon brands in the near future. 

The terrain of brand opinion is going to – nay, must – get deeper. We’re at a moment where it’s clear that the old, status quo society is finished. Values-based branding, already in decline, as I have previously written, is a relic of an earlier era, one where the arena of debate was stable, knowable and clear. 

The brands that win in a more noetic future will be the ones with deeper POV’s that help guide us into the unknown. We desperately need a more revitalizing, bold and enchanting form of mythmaking. 

In his Talks at Concept Bureau, researcher and brand strategist Peter Spear deftly applied Joseph Campbell’s theorization of the functions of mythology to brands. According to Campbell, myths serve four functions: psychological, sociological, cosmological and mystical. Each function makes a step up from the feeling of a person’s mind to the meaning of the universe. 

Spear quotes Campbell directly in his talk, saying, “The need for creative mythology occurs because, for myth to fulfill its four functions, it’s necessary for myth to be current with the science of the times.” 

Spear adds, “This, to me, is the definition of brand management.” 

Talks at Concept Bureau with Peter Spear, 5/31/2023

This quote perfectly expresses what’s at stake in an epistemological shift. The “science of the times” in our case is noetics, and brands are neglecting this deeper reservoir of feeling at their peril. For too long, values-based branding has kept us mired in only the psychological and the sociological, with rancor predictably following. There’s an untapped horizon of opportunity for brands to exist in the mystical and the cosmological.

Intuition Is Our Human Defensibility

Scientists still can’t explain your subjective experience of the color red, or the briny taste of an oyster as it appears for you. Our subjective experiences of this kind are called qualia, and their personal existence is at the root of the intractable, “hard problem of consciousness.” We can be certain that AI will never experience qualia just like ours, nor will it have the same feelings, intuitions and spiritual drives. In short, AGI won’t be dumbstruck by the awesomeness of it all. 

These states are the hallmarks of our human defensibility. They are the answer to what is uniquely human. In time, the noetic plane will become immensely special and precious to us. We will come to see that it is what we are and has always been what we are, and we will approach it with reverence. 

Our nascent noetic leanings are only going to deepen in either a “techno-apocalyptic” or a “techno-optimistic” future. We’re going to come to worship our subjective experience of ourselves and our intuition. We’re going to recognize that noetics is the epistemology that is all our own as human beings. 

You feel me?

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Culture Featured

Conspicuous Commitment Is The Next Era of Status

 

Lately, everyone is cold-plunging themselves into an icey bliss. Steaming themselves in home saunas. Taking double-digit and increasingly esoteric wellness supplements. Pushing their consciousness to its limits at psychedelic retreats. Biohacking their way to immortality. Losing their bodies in sensory deprivation tanks or darkness retreats. Meditating regularly and seeing breathwork coaches. Attending healing sound baths. Downing Athletic Greens. Binging nootropics. Intermittent fasting. 

You’ve probably seen all this online, if not done some of it in real life. And you’ve probably also noticed how our culture is encouraging us all to “put our own oxygen masks on first,” as the saying goes. After the mental health and self-care revolutions of the past decade, not to mention the psychological magnifying glass of the pandemic, we’re all doing the work. Self work has become the new workism, characterized by the same ferocious zeal. 

Today, those on dating apps report they don’t want to go out with people who aren’t in therapy. That’s right, the latest deal breaker in the dating market is inadequate attention to the self. Vulnerability is the new black. 

The fashion of our times is to let it all hang out in the public eye. Our cultural mantra is to “live your truth.” The trending mode of expression for influencers is to share what’s going on behind the scenes in their minds, effectively de-influencing and penetrating the sales facade. Authenticity has become the inescapable imperative of our time. 

Such a deep focus on the self is key to understanding how social status works today. In 2022, Gallup found that Americans’ satisfaction with “the way things are going in my personal life” neared a 40-year high, even as their satisfaction with “the way things are going in the U.S.” neared a 40-year low. These are startling results, indicative of a profound shift in how we relate to ourselves and one another. 

In a similar 2023 finding, The Wall Street Journal found that Americans have dramatically pulled back from our historically prosocial values. 

America Pulls Back From Values That Once Defined It, WSJ-NORC Poll Finds, WSJ 3/27/2023

Taking stock, what’s clear is that we’re on an accelerating journey inwards. We’ve radically turned away from society and into the self, which has impacted the ways we seek to stand out and distinguish ourselves. 

Status is no longer defined externally by the peacocking of conspicuous consumption; instead, it’s become defined by conspicuous commitment, by the deep, abiding belief in and commitment to a project of internal self-betterment. 

We’re no longer bragging about our possessions, the experiences we’ve had or the moral highgrounds we’ve taken. Instead, we’re showing off our discipline and self-denial, our asceticism and the pains we’ve endured for physical and psychic gains.

How did we get here? We can’t blame it all on Goop. What happened to Escalades and Ibiza, to Birkin bags and “I voted” stickers? 

In a society with diminished future hopes, the most prized commodity is the ability to transcend the nihilism and ironic detachment that is so in vogue. When the felt sense is that life’s prospects have been dimmed by a litany of societal factors, and when it’s so easy to criticize, tear down and take refuge in irony, earnestly committing to a disciplined project of self-improvement – wherever it’s directed – stands out. Deeply believing in something optimistic has become a new luxury that isn’t available to everyone. 

This new form of status is most apparent in the therapeutic and wellness domains, but it’s also what’s behind the meteoric rise of psychedelics. It’s what’s fueling the elite’s obsession with longevity. And it’s what’s beneath the effusive glee of personal AI optimization efforts. 

The Birth of Conspicuous Commitment

If you’re finding it harder to understand social status these days, you’re not alone. In his 2023 book, The Status Revelation, journalist and documentarian Chuck Thompson argues that “no one has any idea what status and prestige are anymore.” Thompson concludes that money can’t buy happiness, and increasingly, it doesn’t even buy status. Likewise, Vox has recently declared that shared trends – long the foundation of status displays – are dead

Status hierarchies can’t survive the seismic social upheavals we’ve endured over the last decade. Agreement is no more: It’s been well-documented that society is breaking, that we’ve splintered into mutually hostile reality tunnels, that we’re fully post-truth, that it’s nothing but tribal factionalization

These conclusions dovetail with recent research from my colleagues at Concept Bureau. CEO Jasmine Bina published a fascinating piece exploring the rise of High Fidelity Society, in which our stable, governing social conventions and identity-binaries have given way to a much more fine-grained multiplicity of social existences. Strategist Rebecca Johnson has argued that brands can no longer aspire towards mass relevance and broad appeal and instead need to focus on cultivating niche relatability to individual personalities. 

Yet there is widespread cultural agreement that the long-term prospects of most individuals are diminishing. So, how do we cope? Create Tomorrow, a think tank of futurists, recently released their 2024 Future Consumer Report and one of their key predictions is the continued rise of what they’re calling “Tragic Optimism.” 

The tragically-optimistic mindset is characterized by a more realistic framing of life that is closely connected with coping. We’re now wide-eyed and fully aware that the majority of us are moving into the future with more limited horizons and lessened prospects. 

The cultural ubiquity of tragic optimism is the main reason why 91% of consumers want more humor, playfulness and absurdity from brands these days. Humor and irony speak to the lack of agency that many in society are feeling – if you can’t beat them, you can at least mock them.

Eve Lee, Founder of The Digital Fairy, LinkedIn 2/17/2023

Commitment, on the other hand, is wholeheartedly post-nihilist and post-ironic. It’s deeply earnest and sincere – it’s dead serious – and it requires the foil of tragic optimism to stand out as something different and rare, something capable of conferring status.

Conspicuous Commitment is The Fourth Turning of Status

The post-war golden age of American capitalism ushered in the American dream. For decades, your worth was defined by what you had, and there was a clear hierarchy. The era of consumption-based status peaked in the early 2000’s, epitomized by MTV’s Cribs, which, incidentally, has just been rebooted. Already, cultural commentators are panning it, saying it won’t work because “wealth porn isn’t appealing anymore.” 

Overt displays of wealth began to fade from fashion with the financial collapse of 2007. Millennials graduated into one of the worst job markets of all time and had their lifetime economic prospects dashed. Naturally, they began to assert a new value system that eschewed material wealth in favor of deeper meaning – or at least the appearance of it. Experiences in the service of better stories became the status currency as the YOLO economy took root and Instagram became, for a time, the mainvein of culture. 

The dominance of experiences came to an end when society started to fully come apart in 2016. Even the carefree pursuit of experiences became contentious. Suddenly, your version of status wasn’t mine; it was what you believed about our breaking society that mattered. Beliefs about economic equality, inclusivity, climate change, the reality of white privilege, anti-capitalism, masks, non-monogamy and drug legalization began to confer tribal status. Psychologist Rob Henderson is the values era’s leading theorist with his concept of luxury beliefs

In response to these developments, socially-conscious, values-based branding became the go-to tactic, even to the point of parody. In response to Unilever’s recent announcement that all 400 of its brands will soon be getting mission statements, The Wall Street Journal asked, somewhat rhetorically, “Does Your Mayo Need a Mission Statement?” Unilever’s move illustrates how commodified this mode of branding has become. Ultimately, this kind of branding ends up all sounding the same, squeezed as it is by the narrow limits of the universe of values. 

Most companies haven’t realized that we’re moving beyond such prosocial cultural stances. 

Varieties of Conspicuous Commitment 

What all emerging forms of conspicuous commitment share is a consecration of the self. Conspicuous commitment puts self-discipline into evidence for all to see, and it transcends the irony, nihilism and tragic optimism our culture is mired in. We now gain status precisely from the internal world building we do. The stories we create about who we are, and most importantly, who we’re becoming, are the fundamental status currency today. 

Variety One: Asceticism

Above all, today’s status displays are characterized by self-discipline and non-religious religiosity, by deep, non-ironic commitment to a personal project of the self. 

They often look like pain. 75 hard is a great example. 75 hard is a “transformative mental toughness” program. Discipline is its product. 75 hard asks you to work out everyday, eat well, drink lots of water and forgo alcohol. Boastfully, the program announces that 95% of people who try 75 hard will fail. The hashtag #75hardchallenge has been viewed almost 1 billion times and #75hard has over 1.5 billion views on Tiktok. 

The program’s founder, Anthony Frisella, asserts that “it takes confidence. It takes grit.

It takes belief in yourself. It takes fortitude. It takes endurance. It takes perseverance. It takes a willingness to win. These are NOT traits you are born with… “

@madisonjan, TikTok 6/7/2021

This TikTok is a representative example. All the ingredients are there: “Shutting out” the world and going into the self to work on one’s mental landscape and body. Discipline, it turns out, is the missing piece of the interior jigsaw for many people in today’s culture. 

Similarly, Wim Hof, founder of the Wim Hof Method, simplifies existence down to breathing and exposure to cold. In this system, there’s nothing that cold shock therapy and breathing can’t fix, and if someone commits to being a person in the Wim Hof way, they’re rewarded with “maximum energy, restful sleep, an uncluttered headspace, and a host of other benefits. It is a gym membership, mindfulness coach, and health insurance all rolled into one.” 

Asceticism can also look like tidying up. Social media is increasingly filled with cleaning resets where people explain how they clean and reorganize their spaces; morning and evening “5-9” routines where people explain how they structure their daily routines; cabinet and pantry organization where people explain their systems for simplifying the chaos of daily life. 

What all these trends express is the status derived from ordering thyself. The right amount of challenge allows us to feel like we’re becoming stronger, more disciplined, hardened and resilient people. 

Variety Two: Immortality

A new techno-utopian longevity movement is forming that knits together biohacking and artificial intelligence. The movement’s most prominent evangelist is tech CEO Bryan Johnson, who is on a public quest to reverse the aging process and become the same biological age as his son. 

Johnson is spending 2 million dollars a year and enlisted a team of 30 doctors to break the spell of aging. In his new venture, Blueprint, he aims to generate “aging escape velocity.” 

Bryan Johnson and son, Instagram 1/30/2023

Here is Johnson’s philosophy in his own words: 

“The enemy is Entropy. The path is Goal Alignment via building your Autonomous Self; enabling compounded rates of progress to bravely explore the Zeroth Principle Future and play infinite games. This time, our time, right now – the early 21st century – will be defined by the radical evolution of intelligence: human, AI and biology. Our opportunity is to be this exciting future… You want as-perfect-as possible health? Get out of the way and let a system comprised of your body + science do the work. That’s counter intuitive. We are accustomed to thinking our minds are the solution; not the problem.”

His language, particularly in the selection I emphasized in bold, betrays earnest intent that is not hyperbolic. “Playing infinite games” speaks directly to the goal of immortality, and building “your autonomous self” via “goal alignment” shows a master command of the new language of conspicuous commitment.

The money is paying off. According to Johnson, he’s experienced: “5.1 yrs epigenetic age reversal; Reduced my pace of aging by the equivalent 31 years in 18 months; Now aging more slowly than the average 10 yr old.” 

Johnson may be the most salient example of technologically-enabled biohacking at the moment, but he’s far from alone. The uber-wealthy questing towards immortality are merely the font of a much broader reservoir of people asserting agency and taking control of their bodies and minds. General understanding of longevity science and health are now mainstream, and laypeople are developing their own bespoke wellness stacks, trying to live for as long as they can. 

Immortality is the undercurrent beneath many of the most hopeful AI future narratives popular among the likes of Johnson. A recent scan of headlines reveals a surge in articles about how AI is bringing humanity to the doorstep of immortality. 

Prominent futurist and computer scientist Ray Kurzweil predicts we will effectively achieve immortality by 2030. Intelligence advances and nanotechnology are both vital for mapping our neural connectomes for digital life.

Much is uncertain here, but what is clear is that these technological advances will not be evenly distributed. When our lives’ length’s begin to diverge, longevity becomes the ultimate luxury good.  

Variety Three: Psychedelic Spirituality  

Going back decades, the frontier of scientific and spiritual exploration has been aimed outward at the horizon of the stars. Cultural storytelling and media narratives focused on colonizing the universe, a species in continual galactic expansion. 

Yet the reality of exploration as it’s actually occurring tells a different story, one of inwardness. Author and science journalist Michael Pollan, in his 2019 book How to Change Your Mind, asserts that “psychedelics will be for the study of the mind what the microscope was for biology.” 

Psychedelics are the perfect technology for the inward gaze at the heart of conspicuous commitment. The internal mining is now at full-throttle. We admire those who push their minds to the limits, diving deep inside to see what’s unearthed.

@therealbrom from Empath Ventures, Twitter 3/27/2023

Ketamine therapy is now readily available in the mail, no special permissions required. Psilocybin (mushroom) therapy is available in a handful of blue states, and red states are now joining them in a push for general decriminalization outside of therapeutic contexts. And the U.S. Food and Drug Administration is moving toward legalizing MDMA for the treatment of post-traumatic stress disorder. 

Soap brand Dr. Bronner’s recently made access to psychedelic-assisted psychotherapy a keystone wellness benefit available to all of its employees. Many other companies are sure to follow in their footsteps as we move into the future. 

Yet psychedelics are not only in vogue as medicalized mental health treatment, they exist as a broader cultural force. As we shun traditional, mass religions, it’s never been more fashionable to be a spiritual seeker, creating meaning ad hoc and personally. The presence of these personally-defined meaning systems confers status in our new paradigm. 

Conspicuous Commitment is Evidence of Culture in Transition 

At first blush, it seems easy to regard conspicuous commitment cynically as a detached preoccupation of the elite, but that would be a mistake. Though individuals may remain mired in nihilism, cultures never do. The breakdown of our guiding social structures in rapid succession was never going to occur without a fallout, and our culture has begun the process of awakening from the meaning crisis

@elizabeth.april reposting @wordsarevibrations, Instagram 4/14/2023

If the first step toward any kind of collective renewal is each of us putting our own oxygen mask on first, then so be it. Any therapist working will tell you self-work is an essential precondition. When we do begin to lay the foundations of our new social infrastructure, we can expect to re-engage each other on stronger, more honest ground. 

The emergence of conspicuous commitment is the first stirring of a life beyond the consoling seductions of nihilism, the dopamine hacking of consumer excess and the comedic jestering of ironic detachment. 

Conspicuous commitment gives the broader culture new ways to feel agency and to find genuine meaning in their lives. For the first time in a long time, it feels like something real, like the green shoots of an honest hope. 

What we need most are new models of what a generative, blossoming life looks like. If 75 hard, biohacking, or psychedelics aren’t for you, rest assured there will soon be many other models for living a committed, meaningful life. 

We should expect a profusion of different ways to commit, and brands will likely start distinguishing themselves – counterintuitively – by the challenges they present. When ease is everywhere, “difficult, but worth it” is not. Commitment is particularly suitable for finance, wellness, food, athletics, arts, and hobby pursuits, but there’s really no category where it can’t show up. 

What’s abundantly clear – dare I say hopeful – is that we’re a culture in transition, hellbent on repopulating our worlds with the meaning systems of a more disciplined existence. 

Categories
Culture Featured

D2C Anti-Capitalism: The Red Herring of Consumerism

 

Gone are the highfalutin ideals, goals, and visions that guided corporate social responsibility (CSR) since it became a strategic imperative in the early 2000’s. While initially innovative, it became easy for consumers to call this kind of CSR greenwashing, wokewashing, pinkwashing, etc. If you could name it, you could wash it.

At its most cringe, this era of CSR produced a cottage industry of “cause marketing fails” listicles where we could all get a laugh out of brands attaching themselves to causes they had absolutely no business being affiliated with, just so they could try and signal a higher purpose. Kentucky Fried Chicken’s buckets for the cure for breast cancer, Fleshlight’s celebration of the heroes of 9/11, and Pepsi’s infamous Kendall Jenner debacle come to mind.

Today, however, the green shoots of a new era are emerging as CSR is rapidly being productized and sold back to consumers as “D2C anti-capitalism.” In D2C anti-capitalism, solutions to the societal and environmental problems generated by capitalism are being sold back to consumers as products for purchase. Levi’s, Oatly, and Viking Cruises are standout examples, each expressing a different aspect of D2C anti-capitalism.

Levi’s

“When we buy better, we can wear longer. When we wear longer, we can waste less. When we waste less, we can buy less. When we buy less, we can change the world.” Notice the shift in emphasis here. Rather than Levi’s raising awareness for their CSR initiatives, the brand is inviting consumers to take charge and be the solution themselves. So the next time someone purchases a pair of 501’s, they’re given permission to feel like a forward thinking change agent helping end the scourge of fast-fashion and better the planet.

Oatly

Oatly has consistently fashioned itself as the anti-corporation, corporation. They know we know all about “washing,” so they’re explicit about not even trying to go there. Oatly is saying to consumers, “Hey, look, we get it. You’re tired of being lied to and sold to, so we’re not going to try and manipulate you and sell to you. We’re going to be self-deprecating so we’re in on the laugh with you.” Oatly knows how cynical modern consumers are, and how jaded we’ve all become by the overt sale in our nascent era of relatability. Anti, then, is their strategy.

Oatly has truly doubled down on this form of D2C anti-capitalism. Their widely panned 2021 super bowl ad set out to fail. They wanted to be annoying. They wanted to be a failure. They knew we would hate it, so they were ready to sell us T-Shirts that said “I totally hated that Oatly Super Bowl commercial.” Oatly has clearly imbibed Oscar Wilde’s famous adage that “the only thing worse than being talked about is not being talked about.”

Yet it’s difficult to deny their appeal. The anti-corporation corporation has been a runaway success. Oatly has established a fervent cult following – replete with merchandise – while becoming the oat milk of choice at Starbucks.

Viking Cruises

Viking Cruises, like Levi’s, is inviting consumers to become part of the solution to the climate crisis. Viking has recently begun to market their new Arctic “expeditions” as “vital planet saving research and discovery.” Their new Arctic ship is chock full of scientific activities that enable cruisers to feel like they’re actively helping to solve the climate crisis. Cruisers collect water samples, measure ocean acidification, analyze specimens under microscopes, and make personal climate pledges – all on multi-thousand dollar vacations with astronomical carbon footprints. With this move, Viking is selling the feeling of climate contribution.

Beatniks in The Boardroom: The Growth of Shareholder Activism

D2C anti-capitalism is a natural outgrowth of major shifts in CSR. Shareholder activism and social pressures have caused the scope of CSR to continually widen to encompass more and more issues that previously fell outside the remit of business. By April 2022, 576 proposals concerning social and environmental issues had been filed by investors, which is already up from the 499 filed in all of 2021. Proposals on environmental issues specifically are up 42% year-over-year in 2022. Shareholder proposals aimed at social and racial equity are also up in 2022.

The Economist has called annual shareholder meetings the new frontline in the battle for corporate purpose. Together with D2C anti-capitalism, shareholder activism reveals a growing understanding of the power of business to produce social outcomes, desirable or otherwise.

Clearly, this is a marked shift. In the 19th century, economists coined the term ‘externalities’ to describe how business imposes unpaid costs on society. Until recently, externalities tended mostly to be environmental pollutants. But the rise of an ever diversifying set of investor proposals reveals that shareholders (and society) are beginning to see racial injustice, economic inequality, and LGBTQ+ rights as externalities, as costs imposed on society by conducting business as usual.

Engine1 is an investment firm designed to hold businesses accountable for the total value of their impact on society. Engine1 pools investors together to buy corporate shares and then engage in shareholder activism. Their “total value framework” is meant to align economic value with positive social value. Engine1 is attempting to put a dollar value on the total impact a company has in order to give capital allocators and financial analysts a new way to value companies.

What’s new here is that previous activist firms have decided not to own shares of the most offending companies, but Engine1 believes you don’t run from the fire. Instead, you try to create positive social value from within.

Why This? Why Now?

It’s easier to imagine the end of the world than to imagine the end of capitalism.
Fredric Jameson, Political Theorist

Consumers today are the most educated they have ever been. The average consumer increasingly understands the connections between capitalism, culture, society, and individual psychology.

Let’s wade for a moment into the tensions the average college educated consumer reckons with these days. They want to go to the grocery store and be guaranteed to find fresh scallops, avocados and tomatoes at any time of year, no matter the location, even though they know it’s not natural or very good for the planet. They want to deepen their engagement with the world through travel, even though they’re aware of the climate costs (unless you’re cruising Viking). They want an iphone while also knowing Apple has questionable labor and environmental practices, and the jury is still out on the whole data privacy thing, too. And they’ve grown accustomed to cheap and immediate delivery from Amazon while knowing its workers are injured at a rate double that of other companies.

D2C anti-capitalism offers a way out of these tensions through the assuaging salvation it promises. And shareholder activism tries to get business to account for its effect on society. Yet still, these are half-measures, and consumers are feeling stagnant and ineffectual.

Generational nihilism has been proffered as a catchall descriptor of the malaise Americans feel today. It’s not exactly the classic “smoke em if you got em because we’re all going down so who really cares” brand of nihilism, though. It’s something else.

In a fascinating 2021 article called “How Nothingness Became Everything We Wanted” in the New York Times, Kyle Chayka asserts that “numbness beckons when life is difficult, when problems seem insurmountable, when there is so much to mourn.” Indeed, such widespread feelings of ineffectuality are exactly what D2C anti-capitalism is soothing.

Our problems do seem insurmountable, like we can’t do anything to fix society. That no one can. And social inequalities, the isolation of Covid-19, rancorous racial tumult, inescapable gun violence, and the ever-present titillations of partisan outrage porn that drive the click economy have combined to give us a lot to mourn. Lacking the ability to create real change, it makes sense that consumers are buying productized solutions to social problems. And it makes sense that activist investors continue to expand the horizons of corporate social responsibility.

D2C Anti-Capitalism: Future Force or Fleeting Fad?

At Concept Bureau, we focus on outlying signals of change that provide clues about the possible direction of our cultural and social futures. A central notion of futurists is that the “future is already here, it’s just not evenly distributed.” With that, the question then becomes, is the emergence of D2C anti-capitalism a signal of the future of CSR and branding? Or, will it be a passing fad, replaced by other, stronger signals of the future?

If we agree that D2C anti-capitalism is a reaction to our current cultural malaise in which Americans feel ineffectual and lack the agency necessary to create change, it’s reasonable to assume that, so long as the current cultural climate remains, the appeal of anti-capitalist branding will remain as well.

However, a growing chorus of cultural commentators are signaling that a vibe shift is underway.

The concept of the “vibe shift” is meant to capture cultural change, i.e. changes to the values that guide cultural production and the expression of our individual identities. No doubt, while it’s easy to feel the vibe shift in American culture right now, the concept isn’t deep enough to capture the magnitude of change that is beginning to be set in motion. Rather, what’s happening today is more akin to plate tectonics – a tectonic shift versus a vibe shift – because it’s happening at the level of our foundational institutions.

It’s not hyperbole to assert that over the next two decades, society will massively reinvent and reground itself on a different set of priorities from those of the past.

In this world, the personal agency to create what comes next is the highest form of cultural value. Indeed, people are already creating the worlds they want to live in – they’re “being the change they want to see in the world” as the Dalai Lama has famously put it. Let’s look at some examples of future signals that bear this direction out:

  • The rise and diversification of ideological communities that essentially opt out of mass, global, and universal society in favor of more ancient, tribal modes of living amongst like-minded individuals. Such as parrothead retirements, anti-vax “Burning Man” utopias, Central American crypto cities, and micronations.
  • The Great Resignation has large numbers of people leaving jobs in which they feel like cogs for jobs that are more personally meaningful. According to Google data, eight of the top ten most searched “how to become” jobs in 2021 were all jobs that provide ample amounts of agency and control: therapist, electrician, real estate agent, personal trainer, psychiatrist, firefighter, and pilot. These are jobs rich in human skill.
  • The growing normalization of polyamory, open relationships and thruples signals an agentic reclamation of relationships, one that puts individual people, rather than social marriage norms, in control. Vogue reports that 22% of couples are already experimenting with various forms of consensual non-monogamy.
  • The current explosion of interest in psychedelics, meditation (tripled in the U.S.A. since 2012), and Eastern spirituality loudly signals a desire to control our minds and “let in” things that were taboo for Americans in earlier eras. It’s hard to see these trends as anything other than agentic reclamations of holistic wellness and mental health.
  • The astonishingly fast rise of cryptocurrency, DAO’s, and NFT’s suggests a desire for newfound collective control amidst the collapse of trust in old institutions.
  • The rise of homeschooling, along with ideological attacks on public schools more generally, suggest a desire for tighter, more homogeneous communities. The rate of homeschooling shot up 63% in 2020, before only falling 17% from there in 2021.

Taken together, these signals point toward a future that is more decentralized, more ideological-collectivist and tribal, and less coherent and unified. In short, we’re using agency to create the worlds we want to live in, within “the current thing,” as Marc Andreessen has put it.

That world is being built today, it’s just not evenly distributed yet.

What Defines Brand Success In This Future?

D2C anti-capitalism exists today because it’s a soothing assuagement of the symptoms of social sickness, chiefly an ineffectual lack of personal agency.

CSR has gone from vision to product to enabling consumers to feel like they are a part of the solutions they’re seeking, and for which they have no recourse otherwise. Yet as the outlying future signals above suggest, individuals who are the most enlivened with agency today are using that power to create new social formations founded on different values: decentralization and community.

There are three main ways for brands to succeed in this future:

1. Be a Co-Creator of The Future Along With Your Customers

Are you in a category that can credibly help create what comes next? If so, lean into the restlessness of the moment and do all you can to signal you’re a co-creator of the future. Your values and brand actions are essential in this capacity. They’re what will signal to fellow change agents that you’re a brand on their side. That you, too, desire new social formations founded on the emerging values of decentralization and community. The worst thing your brand can do is signal that you’re anchored to the here and now, to the way things are today. To do that is to risk your customers moving into their futures without you.

2. Enable People To Create Their Future

If your brand is not in a future creation category, that’s okay. You can still enable people to pursue new worlds themselves, you just have to pick a lane – which is to say a community – and support them in the future they’re building. Your brand can’t be for everybody, so figure out the future vision that your people want. Then, do everything you can with your branding, messaging, and thought leadership to help your community of people bring their better future into being. This means having a strong POV and culturally resonate narratives that allow your customers to use your brand as a signal of change, as a signpost of meaning in society.

3. Create Communities

It’s our strategic conviction at Concept Bureau that we’ve left the era of weak ties and entered the era of strong ties in which communities are the new brands. Any brand is capable of creating new communities, or nurturing and uplifting existing communities. The key here is to understand what those communities want, and how you can help achieve that with your brand actions. Communities have always been vehicles for agency and action, and this will only deepen in the possible future laid out here. If your brand can become a valued member of a community, you’ll lessen the risk that your brand won’t be participating in that future horizon with them.

People can remain mired in nihilism, but societies never do, especially not dynamic capitalist societies. The winning brands of the next decade will be ones that first understand the emotional and cultural currents that are pulling people into their futures, and then armed with that knowledge, help them sprint toward it.

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